October 20, 2011

The Money Bet of the Century | Week #8

Money Betters!

I love writing a blog post the week following a successful DOUBLE DOWN SPECIAL. Back from another win, the MBOC has a little bit of swagger in its step as it now sits at an impressive 5-2 record. Last week was another impressive win for Oklahoma State. Brandon Weeden has put up more impressive performances this year, throwing for 218 yards and only one touchdown. Additionally, I predicted that Justin Blackmon would have a game, but he only ended up with 7 receptions for 74 yards and a touchdown. Regardless, that is one talented receiver that is going to have a great NFL career.

What made Oklahoma State go this week was their running back, Jeremy Smith, who had 7 touches for 140 yards and two touchdowns. That's right fans, he averaged 20 yards per touch against a decent Texas team that was playing on home turf. All-in-all, it didn't go as planned, but we'll take a win any day of the week.

There are a lot of exciting games this weekend. The staff was at odds with who we should go with. Michigan State is playing Wisconsin in a classic Big Ten showdown. #6 ranked Wisconsin brings a balanced attack to the field with 265 yards of passing and 257 rushing yards per game. That makes them a dual threat and it will be a tough game for #16 Michigan State. The good news for State is that they are playing at home, and playing well right now. If Kirk Cousins has a great game, Sparty might just pull it out.

Another good game will be North Carolina vs. Clemson. Clemson is playing back at home after eaking out a win last week in a close one with Maryland. The one thing our staff has determined is that Clemson is virtually unbeatable at home this season. They will easily cover the 11 point line vs. NC and maybe run the table on the season. They'll still have to get by South Carolina and, unfortunately for Clemson, it ain't a home game.

The Money Bet of the Century this week is back in the Pac-10. Were talking about the UW vs. Stanford game. The game will be played down on the farm, where weather conditions are looking to be a balmy 82 degrees. Stanford is favored in this game by 20.5, but we can't figure out why. Sure, Stanford has the dependable arm of Andrew Luck, who has a 71.3% completion percentage and has thrown for 1719 yards and 18 touchdowns. They also have a very reliable target in Coby Fleener who has 383 yards and six touchdowns.

But look at the other side of the ball, and you'll see a UW who has quietly been having a great year. You don't lose a lot with Keith Price at the helm. He has near matchable numbers with a 69.4% completion percentage and has thrown for 1466 yards and 21 touchdowns. Both QBs have been able to keep interceptions at a minimum, with Price at 4, and Luck at 3. Devin Aguilar with 330 yards and 3 touchdowns. These teams are pretty evenly matched, but it definitely will be a big road game test for UW. Playing in front of a #8 Stanford home crowd that will be amped for a 5pm start definitely means the crowd will play a factor.

The big question in this game, and the reason the line is 20.5 is Washington's secondary. They aren't that great, and Washington has been allowing opponents to score an average of 28.5 points per game....and that includes Hawaii and Eastern Washington.

I'm not going to out-and-out say UW is going to win this game, but they'll definitely keep in closer than everyone thinks. UW goes down to the farm and loses by 10, but keeps it close enough to make it THE MONEY BET. Call your bookie, places your bet, and kick your feet up on your coffee table to watch the game!

Don't forget to vote in the upper right hand corner and feel free to post comments down below!

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