November 18, 2011
We're entering those magical final weeks of the season. Tomorrow is the annual 'Brawl of the Wild' game between Montana and Montana State. Looking back on this game there have been some memorable games, specifically thinking back to 2002 & 2003 where an underdog Montana State won a couple close games with The Griz. I remember specifically waking up on this day in 2003 to find that it had dumped a load of snow in Bozeman, and my roommate at the time (Miles Mason) was predicting a Montana version of the 92 Snow Bowl game. Off of the opening kickoff, Montana State ran a return that took it to the house for 6. This was always a special game in our house, having both Montana and Montana State roommates. Ain't nothin' like watching a rivalry game unfold when you have people on both sides of the coin living in one house. Montana definitely has won a lot of these games in years past, but the Bobkitties are looking like the team to beat this year, with a 7-0 conference record and only one loss on the season. It's looking like some snow is on the ground in Bozeman.....http://cateye.msu.montana.edu/ will we get a replay of 2003???
As usual, the SEC will be phoning it in (like they always do) this time of the year. Florida is playing Furman, Alabama is playing Georgia Southern, and Auburn is playing Samford (& sons?) Cracks me up how they have these late season cupcakes while they heal their team up for the SEC Championship, while every other conference is playing tough games.
Money Bet of the Century this week is Kansas State vs. Texas. Texas is favored to win by 7, not sure how they came to that conclusion. K-State is running this season like the glory days of old coach Snyder. K-State has only lost two games all year, one to Oklahoma and one to OK State (who will, in the MBOC's prediction, win the National Championship). Other than those two games, they are flawless. Sure, they had a close game last week with A&M and they also had a close one earlier in the season with Baylor, but they rush the ball and score points....consistently. Texas has a pretty good D, but they are barely in the top third for scoring. A lot of points will be scored, but K State covers the 7 points and wins this game.
That's the Money Bet of the Century (this week), now go win some money....
November 4, 2011
When Dave first asked if I would like to write this week’s Money Bet, I immediately said ‘yes’. I mean, who was going to pass down this chance to finally contribute a free pick to this dominant force in the betting industry, especially when I’ve been screwed over countless times by guys who offer a guaranteed winner for a small credit card swipe.
But when he presented me with a link to the stats for the game that I had intended to pick, LSU vs. Alabama, I realized I owed more to the Money Bet. I mean, everyone knows LSU is going to win, but there isn’t too much empirical evidence to support that claim, when compared to Alabama. And for a rookie’s post, emotion and qualitative evidence can only go so far. Clearly, I needed to set the bar high, and establish myself. So it became imperative that whatever pick I put out this week, IT HAD TO BE A WINNER. No mistakes. No pushes. As Buffett says, “Never lose money”. So, with that in mind, I went out looking for value in Vegas.
I'm lucky to report, about 1/4 mile down the strip, in a drunken and drug induced stupor, I found it.While crushing a Hurricane Ice , I came across what would push me into Money Bet history forever. I want you to take MSU -28. Why? Cause it is fucking money. It's the money bet of the century, man! And it's early money, too! Noon games are the best to win with. Your bank is ready for rest of the day. Early wins give you flexibility to make those outrageous 5 team parlays that pay off 30:1 later in the evening. But I can only cover you on one game, so MSU is it. You will have to fend for yourself.
While the world may be waiting for the LSU vs. Alabama showdown, the first play for the day is MSU vs. Minnesota. Listen up, Minnesota is crap. Michigan State put up no fight last week in Lincoln, and they’re gonna come back with a vengeance. Cousins only threw for 86 yards last week, which isn’t going to happen again. Last year, Cousins only needed 131 yards in the air to beat Minnesota 31-8, and this year he’s going to put up at least 360 (for you math wizards, that's three times what he did last year)
This game is a gimme. This line is wrong. Play it early. Play it strong.....BECAUSE THAT'S THE MONEY BET OF THE CENTURY!!!